====== "10 Reasons Estimation and Planning Fails and What to Do About It" by Troy Magennis ======

====== Reference ======

[[https://vimeo.com/144673973|10 Reasons Estimation and Planning Fails and What to Do About It]] by Troy Magennis

====== Notes ======

Great pitch. 

Love the basics here, such as:

  * "If you are in the non-linear region of utilization for your project (i.e. greater than 80% utilization) then estimation will always fail", 
  * "Sometimes you need just enough information to decide what not to do, and perhaps toss a coin for remaining options (if they really are close enough)",
  * "why this project won't finish on time is because of last project - and no amount of estimating is going to help"

And the importance of understanding dependencies (see [[why_should_we_work_harder_to_eliminate_the_effect_of_dependencies|Why Should We Work Harder to Eliminate the Effect of Dependencies?]] for more on this thinking. 

The base idea is that a lot of bad things happen which increase utilization into the "non-linear" zone and which make estimating useless and forecasting difficult.

{{tag>Video Webinar Learning Planning Estimation Review}}