how_can_we_put_an_estimate_on_complexity
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how_can_we_put_an_estimate_on_complexity [2025/02/07 10:24] – created hans | how_can_we_put_an_estimate_on_complexity [2025/02/07 10:29] (current) – Fixed links hans | ||
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Or "How do we gauge how risky something is?" | Or "How do we gauge how risky something is?" | ||
- | People often have trouble putting an estimate on things that are not known. One way to help people improve estimates is to help them better understand the uncertainty associated with the work. Liz Keogh talks about the following approach (see [Estimating Complexity | Liz Keogh, lunivore](https:// | + | People often have trouble putting an estimate on things that are not known. One way to help people improve estimates is to help them better understand the uncertainty associated with the work. Liz Keogh talks about the following approach (see [[https:// |
> “Something I often get teams to do is to estimate, on a scale of 1 to 5, their levels of ignorance, where 5 is “complete ignorance” and 1 is “everything is known”. | > “Something I often get teams to do is to estimate, on a scale of 1 to 5, their levels of ignorance, where 5 is “complete ignorance” and 1 is “everything is known”. | ||
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* 3: Lots of people have done this, including someone on our team. | * 3: Lots of people have done this, including someone on our team. | ||
* 8: Someone in our company has done this, or we have access to expertise. | * 8: Someone in our company has done this, or we have access to expertise. | ||
- | * 13 Someone in the world did this, but not in our organization (and probably at a competitor). | + | * 13: Someone in the world did this, but not in our organization (and probably at a competitor). |
* 20: Nobody in the world has ever done this before. | * 20: Nobody in the world has ever done this before. | ||
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See [[what_is_the_best_approach_to_making_decisions_in_our_context|What is the Best Approach to Making Decisions in Our Context?]] for more on this thinking. | See [[what_is_the_best_approach_to_making_decisions_in_our_context|What is the Best Approach to Making Decisions in Our Context?]] for more on this thinking. | ||
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+ | ====== Want to know more? ====== | ||
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+ | * [[what_is_the_best_approach_to_making_decisions_in_our_context|What is the Best Approach to Making Decisions in Our Context?]] | ||
+ | * [[https:// | ||
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